LINCOLN INSTITUTE/
COMMONWEALTH FOUNDATION
October 2000

 
Q1       Are you currently registered as a Republican, Democrat, or something else? If NO, ďthank youĒ and
            terminate the call.
  If YES, will local records show that you are registered as a Republican, a Democrat,
            or something else?

            46%     REPUBLICAN
            49%     DEMOCRAT
            6%       SOMETHING ELSE

Q2       How likely is it that you will be voting in the election this November?

87%     DEFINITE
            11%     VERY LIKELY
            1%       SOMEWHAT LIKELY

Q         Now, Iíd like to read you a list of names of people who have been in the news recently.  Please tell me
            whether you have HEARD of that person, if so, please tell me whether you have a FAVORABLE or
            UNFAVORABLE opinion of the person:

Q3       Have you heard of George W. Bush?  If YES, do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of him?

             47%     FAVORABLE
 36%     UNFAVORABLE
 17%     NO OPINION/NEVER HEARD/REFUSED

Q4       Have you heard of Albert Gore?  If YES, do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE
            opinion of him?

            45%     FAVORABLE
            37%     UNFAVORABLE
            17%     NO OPINION/NEVER HEARD/REFUSED

Q5       Have you ever heard of Mike Fisher?  If YES, do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of him?

            19%     FAVORABLE
6%       UNFAVORABLE
40%     HEARD/NO OPINION
35%     NEVER HEARD
*          REFUSED

 Q6       Have you ever heard of Robert P. Casey, Jr.?  If YES, do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of him?

            39%     FAVORABLE
14%     UNFAVORABLE
40%     HEARD/NO OPINION
7%       NEVER HEARD
*          REFUSED
               

Q7       Have you ever heard of Barbara Hafer?         If YES, do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of her?

            45%     FAVORABLE
12%     UNFAVORABLE
36%     HEARD/NO OPINION
7%       NEVER HEARD
*          REFUSED 

Q8       Have you ever heard of Jeff Piccola?  If YES, do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of him?

            6%       FAVORABLE
            5%       UNFAVORABLE
            27%     HEARD/NO OPINION
            62%     NEVER HEARD
            *          REFUSED 

Q9       Have you ever heard of Ed Rendell?  If YES, do you have a FAVORABLE or UNFAVORABLE opinion of him?           

            31%     FAVORABLE
            8%       UNFAVORABLE
            31%     HEARD/NO OPINION
            29%     NEVER HEARD
            *          REFUSED

 Q10    If the election for President of the United States was held today, would you vote for (ROTATE) Republican Party candidate George W. Bush, Democratic Party candidate Al Gore, Green Party candidate Ralph Nader, or Reform Party candidate Pat Buchanan?

            42%     BUSH
42%     GORE
4%       NADER
2%       BUCHANAN
11%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 (Asked of Gore, Nader, and Buchanan Voters:)

Q11     If George Bush has chosen Governor Tom Ridge as his Vice Presidential running mate, who would you be voting for?

            3%       BUSH
39%     GORE
3%       NADER
1%       BUCHANAN
2%       DONíT KNOW/REFUSED                       

Q12     If the election for President of the United States was held today, and the ONLY candidates were Republican George W. Bush and Democrat Al Gore, for whom would you vote?

            44%     BUSH
44%     GORE
12%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q13     If the election for United States Senator from Pennsylvania was held today, would you vote for Republican Rick Santorum, or Democrat Ron Klink?

            49%     SANTORUM
38%     KLINK
12%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q14     If the election for Pennsylvania Attorney General was held today, would  you vote for Republican Mike Fisher, or Democrat James Eisenhower?

            45%     FISHER
23%     EISENHOWER
33%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q15     If the election for Pennsylvania Auditor General was held today, would you vote for Republican Katie True, or Democrat Robert P. Casey, Jr.?

            25%     TRUE
50%     CASEY
26%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q16     If the election for State Treasurer were being held today, and the candidates were Republican Barbara Hafer and Democrat Catherine Baker Knoll, for who would you vote?

            50%     HAFER
30%     KNOLL
21%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED 

Q17     Did you vote in the last Presidential election (1996 Clinton vs. Dole)?

            96%     YES
4%       NO
1%       DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q18     If ďNOĒ:  Can you tell me why you didnít vote in that election?

            1%       DIDNíT LIKE THE CANDIDATES
*          DIDíT CARE WHO WON
1%       TOO BUSY
2%       FORGOT
2%       DIDNíT CARE
3%       OTHER
1%       DONí T KNOW/REFUSED

Q19     Think of the Presidential campaigns of Republican George W. Bush and Democrat Al Gore.  In your opinion, which candidate has run the most negative campaign?

             29%     BUSH
 27%     GORE
 44%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q         Turning now to issues:

Q20     In general, do you think things in Pennsylvania are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gone off on the wrong track?

            64%     RIGHT DIRECTION
21%     WRONG TRACK
15%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED 

Q21     Do you think it is appropriate for medical doctors to form and join a labor union?

            28%     YES
            53%     NO
            19%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED 

Q22     Do you think workers should be allowed invest a portion of their Social Security withholding tax in private accounts Ė such as an IRA, certificate of deposit, or through the purchase of stock Ė or should the Social Security system remain as it is with the government making all investment decisions?

            52%     ALLOW PRIVATE INVESTMENT
38%     RETAIN CURRENT SYSTEM
10%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q23     Do you think the current Federal budget surplus should be used to pay down the national debt, should it be spent on new programs, or should Congress cut taxes?

            35%     PAY DEBT
5%       SPENT ON NEW PROGRAMS
35%     CUT TAXES
21%     COMBINATION
4%       DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q24     Presidential candidates George W. Bush and Al Gore have each pledged to cut taxes if elected.  Which candidate do you trust more to follow through on that pledge?

            42%     BUSH
35%     GORE
4%       BOTH
15%     NEITHER
4%       DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q25     Do you favor across-the-board tax cuts or targeted tax cuts?

            56%     ACROSS-THE-BOARD TAX CUTS
            33%     TARGETED TAX CUTS
            11%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q26     Presidential candidates George W. Bush and Al Gore have each promised to provide government
            assistance in paying for prescription mediation for our nationís older citizens.  Which candidate do you
            trust more to keep his promise?

            37%     BUSH
            42%     GORE
            5%       BOTH
            9%       NEITHER
            7%       DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q27     Thinking of George W. Bush and Al Goreís plans to help older citizens pay for prescription drugs,
            which plan more closely reflects your view of how a prescription assistance program should be
            established?

            34%     BUSH
            32%     GORE
            21%     UNFAMILAR WITH PROPOSALS
            14%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q28     Who do you think will do the best job of handling the nationís economy, George W. Bush or Al Gore?

            41%     BUSH
            44%     GORE
            3%       BOTH
            12%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q29     Do the various scandals associated with President Bill Clinton make you MORE LIKELY or LESS
            LIKELY to vote for Al Gore?

            2%       MUCH MORE LIKELY
            3%       SOMEWHAT MORE LIKELY
            5%       TOTAL MORE LIKELY
            9%       SOMEWHAT LESS LIKELY
            18%     MUCH LESS LIKELY
            26%     TOTAL LESS LIKELY
            67%     MAKES NO DIFFERENCE
            2%       DONíT KNOW/REFUSED   

Q30     Would you FAVOR or OPPOSE partial public financing of elections for Governor of Pennsylvania through the creation of a STATE INCOME TAX check-off system, similar to the Presidential income tax check-off?

            14%     STRONGLY FAVOR
18%     SOMEWHAT FAVOR
31%     TOTAL FAVOR       
17%     SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
30%     STRONGLY OPPOSE
47%     TOTAL OPPOSE
21%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q31     Would you FAVOR or OPPOSE having the option of buying all of your telephone service Ė local and long distance Ė from one company?

            45%     STRONGY FAVOR
19%     SOMEWHAT FAVOR
64%     TOTAL FAVOR
9%       SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
14%     STRONGLY OPPOSE
22%     TOTAL OPPOSE
14%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q32     Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE using public funds to pay for scholarships for students to attend the public, private, or parochial school of their choice?

            30%     STRONGLY SUPPORT
18%     SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
48%     TOTAL SUPPORT
14%     SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
27%     STRONGLY OPPOSE
40%     TOTAL OPPOSE
12%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q33     Do you SUPPORT or OPPOSE the concept of charter public schools?       

            28%     STRONGLY SUPPORT
23%     SOMEWHAT SUPPORTS
51%     TOTAL SUPPORT
9%       SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
21%     STRONGLY OPPOSE
30%     TOTAL OPPOSE
19%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q34     Would you SUPPORT or OPPOSE allowing businesses in Pennsylvania  to take a tax credit on their state income tax if they make a charitable contribution to public, private, or parochial elementary and secondary schools?

            32%     STRONGLY SUPPORT
25%     SOMEWHAT SUPPORT
57%     TOTAL SUPPORT
9%       SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
20%     STRONGLY OPPOSE
29%     TOTAL OPPOSE
14%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED   

 Q35     Do you AGREE or DISAGREE that Pennsylvania should begin taxing consumers on Internet and catalog out-of-state purchases?

            21%     STRONGLY AGREE
13%     SOMEWHAT AGREE
34%     TOTAL AGREE
14%     SOMEWHAT DISAGREE
43%     STRONGLY DISAGREE
57%     TOTAL DISAGREE
10%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q         Now a few questions for statistical purposes:

Q36     What is your age please?

            3%       18-29
22%     30-44
34%     45-59
40%     60 OR OLDER
1%       REFUSED

 Q37     When it comes to politics, do you consider yourself to be a CONSERVATIVE, a MODERATE, or a LIBERAL?

            44%     CONSERVATIVE
42%     MODERATE
10%     LIBERAL
3%       DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

 Q38     What is your current household income? 

            5%       BELOW $15,000
15%     $15,000 - $30,000
22%     $30,000 - $50,000
15%     $50,000 - $75,000
9%       $75,000 - $100,000
7%       ABOVE $100,000
27%     DONíT KNOW/REFUSED

Q39     What is your main ethnic heritage or background?

             89%    WHITE or CAUCASIAN
5%       AFRICIAN AMERICAN
*          HISPANIC
*          ASIAN OR PACIFIC ISLANDER
1%       NATIVE AMERICAN
2%       OTHER
3%       REFUSED

 Q40     Are you:           

            34%     MAINLINE PROTESTANT
35%     CATHOLIC
12%     EVANGELICAL CHRISTIAN
1%       EASTERN ORTHODOX
2%       JEWISH
*          MORMON
2%       AGNOSTIC OR ATHIEST
11%     OTHER/NONE
3%       REFUSED 

Q48     Gender (by observation)

            46%     MALE
54%       
FEMALE